Next Refi Wave No Cause for Alarm

There'll be more maturities over the next four years than the past four. But are we heading for a black hole? These power players don't think so. (You can stay out of the panic room for now, unless you like rehydrated beef.) We snapped Cantor Commercial Real Estate CEO Anthony Orso and Deutsche Bank Securities global head of commercial real estate Jonathan Pollack last week at NYU Schack Institute's 46th annual capital markets conference in Manhattan, where Jonathan said that the upcoming cycle of maturities will have more capital and credit availability than the last. Anthony adds that assets that can't be refinanced can probably be sold above debt. Goldman Sachs co-head of mortgage trading David Lehman, who also spoke, estimated two-thirds will have the ability to refi.

When investing abroad, you can't look always at the short term. We're talking a 25-year horizon, like the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, which is investing $3B to $4B in real estate annually across 14 countries. We snapped its Americas head of real estate investment Peter Ballon with fellow Canadian, Oxford Properties Group SVP of investments Andrew Trickett. Peter's a strong believer in Brazil for the long-term (CPPIB has spent $1.5B there over the past three years, repping some of its biggest investments). The board also believes it must invest in China and India with that horizon in mind. (Hope they're prepared for some spicy food.)

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's Orange County Newsletters
Related Stories

Federal Government To Sell Nearly 31K SF In Five Points: The Denver Deal Sheet

Avison Young Had Assets Frozen By Bank Over Unpaid Taxes

Artificial Intelligence Companies Reshaping Dublin Office Demand As OpenAI Confirms HQ

Mars Factory Overhaul Stalls As Candymaker's Chicago Expansion Accelerates

Camden Property Trust Sells West Coast Portfolio, Clears $1.5B Target

Empire State Building Observation Deck Hemorrhaging Visitors, Value

Cortland, Pulte, INVH, Walker & Dunlop Execs Talk Changing Demographics, AI

America's War Machine Is Growing, Sparking A Defense Real Estate Boom

Boca Raton's New Leaders Throwing 'All Kinds Of Curveballs' At Developers

CBRE Posts 16% Revenue Growth In Q2 As Data Center Business Shines

How Metropolis Is Bringing Parking Into The Future With AI And Recognition Technology

While Chicago Development Stalls, Fulton Market Keeps Building