This Is How Far The Market Will Drop Before Bottoming Out

As markets tumble and selloffs expand, Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus says the market will bottom out and “rally from selloffs when its trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple falls to about 16.5x.”

The market has sold off, hit this P/E level, then rebounded six times since 2014—something Stoltzfus says isn’t a coincidence, Business Insider reports.

The relative valuations of asset classes is what drives asset class price, Stolzfus writes. "Everything is linked and valuations are relative to the attractiveness of one asset class over another."

If you’re looking for a time to buy into REITs, CMBS or other NYSE assets, the sweet spot is when P/E hits 16.5, according to Stoltzfus. [BI]

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

TPG, ACORE Raise Billions For Opportunistic CRE Funds

Newmark Cuts Earnings Outlook Despite Record Third Quarter

Battered Mortgage REIT Suspends Dividend To Preserve Cash

From Pandemic Darling To Cautionary Tale: Pickleball Clubs Face A Reckoning After Betting Big On Retail Space

Weil Gotshal Wind-Down Leaves 830K SF Hole In America's Office Market

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Reports Unexpected Q3 Net Loss

'Distress Is Finally Trading': Investors Chasing Big Discounts On Boston Office

Tyko Capital Sets New Record For Florida's Largest Construction Loan

Office Recovery Moving Faster Than Expected, CoStar Finds

How Microsoft, Coca-Cola And Amazon Are Adapting Their Offices For AI Age

Deutsche Bank's Asset Manager Needs To Sell To Meet Redemptions. Here's What It Owns

CoStar To Acquire Aerial Imagery Company For $730M