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E-Commerce Drives Portland Industrial Absorption To New Highs

WASHINGTON DC 09.14.2017


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Jane Cafritz -- Calvin Cafritz Enterprises
Steve Schwat -- Urban Investment Partners (UIP)
Angela Patel -- TripleStone

Portland has one of the tightest industrial markets in the country, according to a new report by CBRE. One reason is a fundamental shift in the way goods are moving from point A to point B.

E-Commerce Drives Portland Industrial Absorption To New Highs

"Portland industrial absorption is benefiting from a significant shift in the diversity of demand from e-commerce, third-party logistics, food and retail companies," CBRE Senior Vice President Stuart Skaug said. 

Historically, these users focused on major markets for distribution centers, but now the focus is on having inventory in as many places as possible to be closer to the customer. Secondary and tertiary markets like Portland are being positively affected, Skaug said.

E-Commerce Drives Portland Industrial Absorption To New Highs
CBRE Senior Vice President Stuart Skaug

According to the latest CBRE data, Portland has the second-lowest availability rate, 4.1%, among the top 10 U.S. markets for warehouse space under construction. Only the metro LA market has a lower rate, coming in at 3.7%.

About 3.4M SF of industrial inventory is under construction in the Portland market, with 42% of that space pre-committed (which means a fair amount of spec space underway). That pre-leasing rate puts Portland in the middle of the pack in the top 10 markets. LA, Dallas and the 1/78/181 Corridor in Pennsylvania all have a lower percentage of their new space spoken for, and thus more spec space coming on the market.

Investors have taken notice of Portland's industrial fundamentals, Skaug said.

"Investors will find higher yields in Portland compared with larger West Coast markets, which are seeing frothy competition for deals, pushing prices up and returns down."