What Are The Odds Of A Fed Rate Hike In December? Just About 100%

Though analysts warned prior to Donald Trump's presidential victory that the likelihood of a rate hike would diminish should the real estate mogul win, as of late traders project there is a 94% chance of a rate hike come December.

That’s the highest level seen this year, and a lot of it has to do with Trump’s spending plans, which are expected to boost inflation and cause the Fed to react with more rate hikes than anticipated. Trump is also rocking the bond market, with his win pushing Treasury 10-year note yields up seven basis points to 2.29%, Bloomberg reports.

The projected chances of a hike to short-term interest rates by December have risen from 68% at the beginning of November to near 100%, and most people now consider it all but a done deal. [Bloomberg]

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

Data Center Energy Bill Stalls In Congress As Opponents Say It Lacked 'Real Teeth'

FedEx's Consolidation Plan Puts $3B Of CMBS Debt In Crosshairs

FBI Opens Investigation Into Multifamily Investor Lurin Capital

DWS Plans Liquidation Of Nontraded REIT After Heightened Redemption Activity

Bisnow's 2026 DEI Data Series

America's Data Centers Are Running Out Of People Who Know How To Run Them

Why Data Centers Crave Simplicity As Operations Grow More Complex

Blackstone Looks To Secondary Market To Cash Out Investors In $11B Fund

CalSTRS Plans $5B In New CRE Investments

Ares, Canadian Pension Investor Launch $2.4B U.S. Logistics JV

Troubled Multifamily Loans Face A Refinancing Problem: Who Puts In New Equity?

Toys R Us Plans 120 New Stores Ahead Of The Holidays