'Whistling Emoji': Economists React To The June Jobs Report On Twitter

Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 850,000 jobs in June, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday

The unemployment rate went from 5.8% in May to 5.9% in June.

U.S. Bureau Of Labor Statistics

The sector seeing the most job growth continues to be leisure and hospitality, which added 343,000 jobs in June, most of which were in food and drinking places. 

Other industries seeing gains include education and retail trade. Retail trade added 67,000 jobs in June, meaning employment in the sector is down 303,000 jobs, or 1.9%, since February 2020.

Construction employment fell by 7,000 jobs in June. The industry now has 238,000 fewer jobs than it did in February 2020.

Here's how economists and others reacted to the June jobs report on Twitter.

 

[whistling emoji] https://t.co/1FgWLT7xh1

— Michael Madowitz (@mikemadowitz) July 2, 2021

 

Welcome to another Job's Day.

The U.S. economy added 850,000 net jobs last month — the strongest month of job growth this year so far.

405K of those went to women. 445K went to men.

— Chabeli Carrazana (@ChabeliH) July 2, 2021

 

850k jobs is a significant uptick in job growth, increasing the speed of the recovery. Average monthly job growth over the last three months comes in at 567k. At that pace, we will likely get down to 4% unemployment this time next year with a full recovery by the end of 2022.
5/n

— Elise Gould (@eliselgould) July 2, 2021

 

At the current 3 month moving average of payroll gains, we’ll get back to pre-crisis trend in 2 years.

That pace of progress would blow the last recovery out of the water. But not clear it’s as fast as we can go. pic.twitter.com/IZM2GjCc4X

— Nick Bunker (@nick_bunker) July 2, 2021

 

It’s Jobs Day!

Women gained 48% of all new jobs—405K

Women’s jobs on payroll are still 3.8 million below pre—COVID-19 level.

Childcare sector jobs still lagging.

Unemployment rate for Black & Latino women still higher than for all women.

— C. Nicole Mason, PhD (@cnicolemason) July 2, 2021

 

The #labor force participation rate didn't budge last month; expiring #unemployment insurance benefits and school reopenings should lift this level in the months ahead. pic.twitter.com/eY48No8wsX

— Carl R. Tannenbaum (@NT_CTannenbaum) July 2, 2021

 

#jobsday restaurants and hotels added 343k — guess they were able to find help after all

— Dean Baker (@DeanBaker13) July 2, 2021

 

The key jobs day takeaway: Higher wages work.

Leisure & hospitality pay jumped 3.6% in past 3 months
Leisure and hospitality accounted 40% of the job gains

Pay is up ~$1.30 above pre-pandemic ratehttps://t.co/ZAu0P4ZzbF pic.twitter.com/3UCjXQUpox

— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) July 2, 2021

 

The average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory workers in manufacturing rose from $23.60 in May to $23.75 in June, with a whopping 5.0% increase over the past year, up from $22.62 in June 2020. pic.twitter.com/8iAPKUNWKZ

— Chad Moutray (@chadmoutray) July 2, 2021

 

Another sign of some normalcy: working from home down by half from the peak.

Not just compositional shifts: down by more half in mgmt/prof jobs, too. pic.twitter.com/5G53hGT4w4

— Jed Kolko (@JedKolko) July 2, 2021

 

Remote work % down to 14.4. Important to realize that as businesses implement long-term remote plans, this rate will fall because the question is about remote working "because of the coronavirus pandemic"

— Adam Ozimek (@ModeledBehavior) July 2, 2021

 

#COVID19 upended life, including how we worked. Many firms worked remotely in ways previously unimaginable. Now, though, workers are returning and rumors of central business district death is greatly exaggerated. This has positive implications for retail and L&H.#JobsReport pic.twitter.com/5vJC2ANGcz

— Constance L Hunter (@ConstanceHunter) July 2, 2021

 

Another encouraging sign: Child care and hospitality, two of the fields that employ the most women, are both adding jobs.https://t.co/9secwYWE7y

— Chabeli Carrazana (@ChabeliH) July 2, 2021

 

Construction employment fell a bit. Home builders are posting projects due to material and labor shortages. A jump in prices and lack of supply has also soured buyer attitudes. The urgency to buy has subsided with a return to offices and prospect of full school reopening.

— Diane Swonk (@DianeSwonk) July 2, 2021

 

The good news: Jobs are plentiful. Wages are rising. 850,000 job gains in June

The worrying trend: Labor force participation isn't going up and we still have 9.5 million unemployed

My take:
**There's still a great re-assessment of work post-pandemic. Many don't want old job** pic.twitter.com/N0PlpQs7jJ

— Heather Long (@byHeatherLong) July 2, 2021

 

In sum

- labor market recovery continues or strengthens, along with public health,

- both supply & demand are increasing rapidly. Forming new matches require lots of learning & trust,

- we remain deep in the hole with a long way to go before full employment. We can do better.

— Aaron Sojourner (@aaronsojourner) July 2, 2021

 

Closing thoughts on #JobsReport:
-Stronger payroll gains are sign recovery is accelerating modestly, despite weak household figures
-Potential for further acceleration in coming months but still a long way to go
-Pandemic is still going on: don't be surprised by surprises

16/16

— Daniel Zhao (@DanielBZhao) July 2, 2021

 

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