All Those Private Equity Funds Will Have To Spend On Worse And Worse Deals

Verified by Molly Armbrister Feb. 7, 2024

Private equity real estate funds continue to raise prodigious amounts of capital, but they may not be the producers they once were.

A combination of factors is driving down the potential yield in commercial real estate investment sales, according to a new report from research and analysis firm Preqin and reported by National Real Estate Investor. As a result, funds launching today are likely promising their investors lower returns, Preqin real estate head Tom Carr told NREI.

As of last June, private equity firms had about $900B in assets under management and the number of funds actively seeking capital was at an all-time high, the Preqin report found. Since then, fundraising has hardly seemed to slow, with Blackstone Group announcing a new fund with a goal of $18B in September and Brookfield approach the $10B goal of its latest fund.

Equity funds continue to recruit capital because the economy has continued to grow, approaching its second decade of recovery since the Great Recession. Real estate prices are now higher than they were in 2007, corresponding with compressed cap rates across markets and sectors, the report finds. The industry is hitting such peaks as the economy's growth is finally slowing (and that is before accounting for the escalating trade war between the U.S. and China).

If returns drop below acceptable levels for fund managers, the resulting buildup in dry powder could throw a wrench in their timelines for closing out such funds and even result in sending money back to investors.

To keep hitting their thresholds, funds are expanding into more types of real estate and more markets, chasing yields in areas that could be less proven. Other funds could extend their life spans beyond initial plans or seek more defensive investments as geopolitical uncertainty continues.

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

Why Hines Is Restarting Its Development Engine

How Integrated Infrastructure Can Help AI Data Centers Deploy Faster, Build Smarter

Nvidia Buys Stake In Data Center Power Company

Invesco Cuts Fees, Adds Incentives To Quell Fund Redemption Requests

Investors Anchor Big Capital Into Marinas, Betting On Shallow Supply

NYC Office Investor Warns It Could Go Under As Defaults Pile Up

Pinewood Studios Pays Owners £100M Dividend And Completes £300M Refinancing

Nike Closes 15 Stores Amid Tumultuous Year

Large Commercial Real Estate Sales Up 30% Despite Economic Headwinds

Evergrande Founder Sentenced To Life, 56 Others Sent To Prison In China

Loud And Clear: Why Aiphone Thinks Intercom Ownership Is Best For Multitenant Buildings

Coconut Grove Office Flipped For $15M Gain After One Year