News

You're On Mute: The Crossover Moment That Says The Old Normal Is Not Gone Forever

Finally it happened: The crossover moment has occurred. Some signs of the old normal are back.

One of the most conspicuous Covid winners — videoconferencing group Zoom — has now fallen to parity with one of the pandemic’s most conspicuous sufferers, hotel group Hilton.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings' share price on the New York Stock Exchange fell to $68.20 on 1 March 2020 as the scale of the pandemic became apparent. It has climbed back steadily ever since to stand at $158 today.

Nasdaq-listed Zoom Video Communications has been travelling in the other direction. On 1 March 2020 it was priced at $146, already up sharply on a pre-Christmas low of $68. The climb continued until 1 November 2020 peaking at $478, and it has since steadily declined to today’s $142.

As a result, Hilton's market capitalisation is $43.8B, compared to Zoom's $41.4B. Bloomberg was the first to spot the looming moment of truth.

Confirmation that the economy has reached the crossover point at which working from home is no longer the only game in town, and a return to pre-pandemic hospitality is undoubtedly on the rise, comes from two other just-published data sets.

Analysis of Pret a Manger sandwich bar sales by the UK Office for National Statistics showed that all major city centres are back to, or exceeding, their March 2020 levels of activity. London West End and Manchester are almost exactly spot-on, and the London suburbs about 20% above March 2020.

Only the City of London was underperforming, operating at about 78% of March 2020 capacity, the Pret figures indicated.

There is also mounting evidence of recovery in the hotel sector, particularly in international travel.

The UK travel and tourism sector is predicted to turnover £192B this year, with the global travel and tourism sector recording £6.3T turnover. This is just 6.4% behind pre-pandemic figures, according to the World Travel and Tourism Council.

Investors have reacted accordingly. Figures from Knight Frank show that £4B was invested in UK hotels in 2021. Of this, a mighty 52% was in the final quarter, and 51% was from overseas.

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's London Newsletters
Related Stories

Miami Is 'Desperate' For A New Office Tower. It's About To Get 2

Union Contracts Expire At 46 Chicago Hotels, With Potential Strike Looming

Joss Realty CEO, Executives Join Another Company's Real Estate Division

LaSalle Wins Extra £300M For £1B AUM Local Authority Pension Mandate

Bluerock Affiliate Acquires Sunnyvale Office Hub For $330.7M

Tishman Misses Payment Deadline On $450M International Square Loan

Investors Turn To Office Retrofits As Rents Rise And Tenants Stay Put

Second Top Real Estate Exec Departs GIC

Hines Doubles Down On UK Retail Parks With £167M Portfolio

Downtown Denver's Office Vacancy Is Still Above 30%. Reviving It Will Take A 'Big Investment'

The Transfer Wave: How Companies' Operations Can Survive Founder Dependence

Why Factoring Tenant Satisfaction Into Office Programming And Operations Can Bring Strong Returns