Climate Gentrification: In Florida, The Hot Amenity Is High Ground

If seas rise six feet by 2100, 13 million people could migrate to higher ground, including 2.5 million fleeing South Florida alone, according to a Harvard researcher.

"Climate gentrification" could ensue as wealthy people claim high ground, displacing poorer residents. Jesse M. Keenan, a researcher at Harvard's Graduate School of Design, looked at home prices and elevation in Miami-Dade County since 1971 and suggested "early signaling" of this pattern, CBS News reports.

People will likely migrate from high-exposure to low-exposure properties, Keenan told CBS. Living in high-exposure are as, like the beach, could get so expensive due to insurance that only rich people can afford it. Even if governments invest in seawalls and pumps, properties nearest those fortifications would be in highest demand, and likely go to the rich.

So far, gentrification in South Florida has been the old-fashioned kind, driven by population trends, not climate. But developer Tony Cho has said that high ground was one factor in choosing Little Haiti as the site of his planned innovation district. The project's website touts "Magic City’s elevation and infill location." Cho, however, has said that he was careful to buy dilapidated warehouses, not residential properties, so as not to displace people.

Architects have predicted that Little Havana is ripe for developers seeking higher ground. Even in Liberty City, which sits 10 feet above sea level, activists and researchers are monitoring as climate gentrification creeps in.

Miami Chief Resilience Officer Jane Gilbert told PRI that her team is currently focused on fortifying against 2 to 3 feet of sea level rise by 2060.

“We feel that we can probably manage that without significant migration away from our coast,” Gilbert said.

A research paper published in the journal Nature in April emphasized that coastal cities are not the only ones that need to prepare for climate change. So, too, do inland areas like Austin and Orlando that will absorb a fleeing populace.

The expected population trends "could stress some landlocked areas unprepared for these migrations, while revitalizing others," the author, Matthew Hauser, wrote. "[Sea-level rise] is currently framed as a coastal hazard, but the migratory effects could ripple far inland."

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's South Florida Newsletters
Related Stories

Holographic Zoo Leases 51K SF Coconut Grove Building For First Location

Blackstone Sells Fort Lauderdale Industrial For $57M: The South Florida Deal Sheet

Denver Construction Costs On The Rise, Surpass National Increases

How Miami Multifamily Developers Are Approaching Dealmaking Today

Carnegie Mellon's Ken Griffin-Backed Campus Has Miami Developers Salivating

Kava Bars Are Booming. Kratom Is A Big Reason Why

Ken Griffin Spending $3B To Bring Carnegie Mellon Campus To Miami

South Florida Counties Eye Leasing Shuttered Schools To Developers

Moishe Mana Drops $89M On Fort Lauderdale Office: The South Florida Deal Sheet

Miami's Building Boom Means Keeping Renters Is Just As Hard As Finding Them

South Florida Luxury Housing Prices Are Skyrocketing. What Assets Are Attracting Today's Buyers?

J.P. Morgan Fund Sells Wellington Apartments For $105M