More Stores Likely To Close In 2018 Than In 2017

Last year saw a slew of U.S. retail store closings, but 2018 will probably be even more dramatic. About 8,500 stores went dark in 2017, compared with 4,000 in 2016. This year, as many as 9,000 very likely will, Cushman & Wakefield predicts in its latest Shopping Center MarketBeat.

store closing

Retail closures have already gotten off to a robust start this year. In the first quarter, which is traditionally a time when retailers shutter weak or unprofitable locations, some 4,500 stores closed.

The recent closures came despite 2017 being retailers' strongest holiday sales season since the recession, and the U.S. economy was still strong in the first quarter.

According to the report, retail sectors in contraction mode include consumer electronics, apparel, department stores, media (books/music/video) and sporting goods, most of which are typically tied to mall or power center locations. They also tend to face stiff competition from online retail.

As closure announcements gain momentum, the gap in performance between mall classes will widen. Class-A malls will not suffer much from retail closures, Cushman & Wakefield said. Even when anchors close at trophy or Class-A malls, that presents opportunities for landlords to attract more relevant tenants, such as food halls, experiential concepts or other popular new retailers.

Tenants that have been power center-based will increasingly look to Class-B malls as an option, Cushman & Wakefied said, and definitions of center types based on tenant mix will begin to blur. Class-C malls will not survive, and their closures will increase in 2018 and gain momentum through 2020.

Despite the strong rate of closures last year and this, the report said the perception of ailing retail is worse than the reality. Certain sectors of retail are growing, and expansion is happening at the same time that closure news is breaking. Even a handful of department stores are weathering the storm.

Certain retail sectors are expanding. These include dollar stores, discount grocery, off-price apparel, beauty/cosmetics, fitness/health clubs, mass merchandisers with smaller footprints, coffee, fast food and fast fashion, most of which operate in neighborhood and community centers.

Whatever difficulties retail is having aren't because of a lack of consumer interest in spending money.

In addition to the acceleration of e-commerce, the nation’s overbuilt retail marketplace is competing with shifting consumer spending patterns, the report said. Americans are now more value-conscious, and millennials are looking for experiences more than previous generations, sometimes at the expense of buying goods.

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

Trump's New Canadian Tariffs To Spike Additional Materials Costs

Wells Fargo Moves To Foreclose On $1.3B Workspace Property Trust Portfolio

Turner Construction Hit With Cyberattack, Hackers Claim Leaks Of Military Info, NDAs

Latest Round Of Fannie Mae Senior Staff Layoffs Has Multifamily Sector Anxious

Why Hines Is Restarting Its Development Engine

How Integrated Infrastructure Can Help AI Data Centers Deploy Faster, Build Smarter

Nvidia Buys Stake In Data Center Power Company

Invesco Cuts Fees, Adds Incentives To Quell Fund Redemption Requests

Investors Anchor Big Capital Into Marinas, Betting On Shallow Supply

Nike Closes 15 Stores Amid Tumultuous Year

Large Commercial Real Estate Sales Up 30% Despite Economic Headwinds

Evergrande Founder Sentenced To Life, 56 Others Sent To Prison In China