Moody's: U.S. Office Vacancy Hits Another Record High

Office vacancy in the U.S. hit a record high last quarter for the sixth time in a row, according to a Moody’s Analytics report released Wednesday.

Bisnow/Emily Wishingrad
Office Leasing Advertisement In Downtown Washington, D.c.

All commercial real estate sectors are experiencing weakness, the second-quarter report says, as “macroeconomic uncertainty dampened household and business confidence.” But the weakness in the office sector was particularly acute.

Moody’s reported nationwide office vacancy at 20.6% last quarter, up from 17% five years ago, at the start of the pandemic. Last quarter's new high was a 20-basis-point jump from the first quarter and a 50 bps increase year-over-year.

The Moody's report says mandates for employees to return to the office “have done little to stem the bleeding.”

And it predicts future lease terminations by the federal government “will slowly lead to additional available space in the next year or two.” The D.C. office market is already feeling that pain, with the city losing 850K SF of federal occupancy through the first half of this year, according to CBRE.

“Positively, our baseline forecast anticipates the economy will avoid a recession, though downside risks remain high for the office sector as previous periods of economic instability have weakened demand,” the report says.

Effective office rents saw modest growth in Q2, rising to $28.45 per SF on average, 8 cents higher than the previous quarter.

Courtesy of Moody's Analytics

The five metro areas with the sharpest declines in vacancy and the highest rent growth over the past year were Birmingham, Alabama, Palm Beach and Miami, Florida, Wichita, Kansas, and Columbia, South Carolina, according to the report.

On the other end of the spectrum were Nashville, Denver, Seattle, Portland, Oregon, and San Jose, California, which all had negative rent growth and multiple percentage points of increased vacancy.

As for other asset classes' performance during Q2, retail and industrial vacancy rates ticked up from the previous quarter, according to Moody's. Retail rose 10 basis points to 10.5%, and industrial rose 20 basis points to 7.5%.

Multifamily vacancy remained at 6.5%, according to Moody's. Apartment asking rents increased 12 cents to an average of $1,832 per month, while retail rents increased 2 cents to $19.27 per SF, and industrial stayed flat at $7.63 per SF.

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

Cross Ocean Partners, Fuller Realty Acquire 829K SF Houston Office Campus

How Integrated Infrastructure Can Help AI Data Centers Deploy Faster, Build Smarter

Nvidia Buys Stake In Data Center Power Company

Invesco Cuts Fees, Adds Incentives To Quell Fund Redemption Requests

Investors Anchor Big Capital Into Marinas, Betting On Shallow Supply

NYC Office Investor Warns It Could Go Under As Defaults Pile Up

Deutsche Bank Takes 5 Floors At Oaktree And Quadrant's Canary Wharf Scheme

Nike Closes 15 Stores Amid Tumultuous Year

Large Commercial Real Estate Sales Up 30% Despite Economic Headwinds

Evergrande Founder Sentenced To Life, 56 Others Sent To Prison In China

Loud And Clear: Why Aiphone Thinks Intercom Ownership Is Best For Multitenant Buildings

Coconut Grove Office Flipped For $15M Gain After One Year