Deutsche Bank Analysts Say It’s Time To Bet Against CMBS

NYSE, stock market, Wall Street
New York Stock Exchange 1963

After ominously shorting residential mortgage bonds before the last financial crisis, Deutsche Bank is once again going against the grain, advising investors to bet against commercial mortgage backed securities.

The bank said CMBS bonds are weak because they are largely supported by leases from retailers, many of which are struggling, Bloomberg reports. Deutsche bank analysts said it would only take a combination of more store closures and bankruptcies to pull down the system, especially considering the pressure e-commerce has been putting on it for years.

In particular the bank said investors should bet against commercial mortgage bond indexes from 2012 and 2013, which have a larger exposure to malls than recent indexes. And the lender should know what it is talking about — it was the largest underwriter of commercial mortgage bonds in both 2012 and 2013.

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

Senior Housing Buyers Are Paying Up, But Sellers Still Need Convincing

Nuveen's C-PACE Fund Secures Over $1B, Its Biggest Raise Yet

AI Cloud Firm Nebius Raises $5.75B In Debt To Fuel Data Center Expansion

Aberdeen Goes Global With £700M Merged Fund

Sun Communities Taps Equity Residential Veteran As New CFO

Data Center Deals Propel July CRE Sales Volume To Best Performance Since 2005

Dog Haus Pursues Major Expansion After Tapping Former Jersey Mike's Execs

'Aggressive' Antitrust Settlement Unwinds $100M Zillow, Redfin Deal

Trump's New Canadian Tariffs To Spike Additional Materials Costs

Wells Fargo Moves To Foreclose On $1.3B Workspace Property Trust Portfolio

Turner Construction Hit With Cyberattack, Hackers Claim Leaks Of Military Info, NDAs

Latest Round Of Fannie Mae Senior Staff Layoffs Has Multifamily Sector Anxious