Consumer Price Index Jumps Again In May As Inflation Concerns Grow
The debate over how concerning the rise in inflation should be rages on.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' consumer price index rose by 0.6% from April to May, representing a 5% increase compared to May 2020, according to the official BLS announcement released Thursday morning. Ahead of that announcement, the White House attempted to quell concerns, highlighting a column written for BloombergQuint by former Office of Management and Budget Director Peter Orszag giving only a 7% chance that inflation will remain high next year, Axios reports.
The 5% year-over-year increase is the most since the 12-month period ending August 2008, BLS reports. It also is a reflection of how poorly the economy was performing in May of last year, when lockdowns were still the norm across the U.S. and beyond. The White House also pointed to projections from Goldman Sachs that the inflation pickup is temporary, Axios reports.
Still, former high-ranking economic officials like former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers and former Council of Economic Advisers Chair Jason Furman are raising the alarm that inflation at or above 3% could persist without intervention, Axios reports.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen acknowledged over the weekend that inflation could hit 3% on a "year-over-year" basis but that such an increase will prove "transitory," The Washington Post reports. The Federal Reserve generally seeks to keep inflation in the 2% range, but Fed Chair Jerome Powell has not wavered from his stance against raising interest rates until the labor market improves further, Reuters reports.
The biggest factor driving the rise in the CPI was used cars, which have increased in price by about 30% year-over-year. In May, used cars rose 7.3% in price from April, which had already increased 10% from March, according to BLS statistics. Used cars alone drove a third of the overall CPI increase, BLS stated in its announcement.
The longer that inflation remains elevated and threatens to go higher, the more it will affect the commercial real estate market. Some, including JLL Chief Economist Ryan Severino, predict that high inflation could translate to high-powered investors looking to commercial real estate as a place to park money and protect it from inflation's worst effects.