Report: Hotel Performance Continues to Explode

Photo by Alex

In its quarterly update, Fitch Ratings—one of the three recognized SEC-rating organizations—gave a health report on the hotel, multifamily, office and retail markets. Here’s what you need to know:

  • Despite Airbnb breathing down their necks, hotels are still reaching record levels. The sector may be moving past its peak in many major markets, however. Hotels have enjoyed 59 consecutive months of RevPAR growth through July—as well as low oil prices and favorable demand. But for those refinancing existing hotel CMBS deals, one can expect low interest rates (thank the Fed for that) and limited new supply in four major markets—New York, Miami, Seattle and Houston. Additionally, hotel investors should be worried about the potential for oversupply, the effects of California’s drought and the negative effects of low oil prices for Houston (shown) and Calgary.

  • Fitch says multifamily also has a bright future, with vacancy increases in DC rising from 4.2% in Q2 12 to 6.9% in Q2 15. Reis and Fitch state that energy hub Houston also has increasing vacancy, and its supply may outpace demand by 2019.

  • For Houston’s office space, however, vacancy has increased from 14.2% in 2014 to 15.6% this year, and it’s full construction pipeline (11M SF underway, surpassing even New York’s 9.5M SF).Outside of Houston, Fitch says to keep an eye on “tech bubbles” in the Bay Area, Seattle, Boston and New York and their submarkets. Manhattan’s Midtown South and Boston’s Cambridge/Route 128 North have seen year-over-year increases of more than 7%.

  • Retail vacancies have reached a new low, while rents have grown moderately with a 0.6% year-over-year growth. But, it’s not all sunshine and rainbows, as Fitch also noted increased store closings in underperforming Class-B and C malls in secondary and tertiary markets. [GS]

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Related Topics: Airbnb , Fitch Ratings , RevPAR
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

'We Aren't Competitive': Power, Taxes Keep Colorado On The Data Center Sidelines

£1B Property Group To Buy Huge Chunk Of Collapsed NCP Car Park Empire

MBK Sells Anaheim Apartments To TA Realty For $147M

Live Local Act Projects Struggle To Get Fannie, Freddie, HUD On Board

1,300 Projects Potentially Paused Due To Suspension Of Quality Inspectors

Blue Owl Reportedly Planning Data Center REIT

Center City Office Demand Starts Spilling From Trophy To Class-A Despite Debt Issues

Republican Midterm Convention Could Fill More Than 5,000 Hotel Rooms In Dallas

HUD Wants To Make It Easier To Bring Private Capital Into Public Housing

Private REIT Closes $650M Refinancing Of 549-Property Daycare Portfolio

Buc-ee's Convenience Store Star Fades As Visits Slip

EXCLUSIVE: Georgia-Pacific Scraps Conversion Plans For Its Atlanta HQ