Three Signs of Industrial Dominance

Another strong year is coming for DFW industrial, though it won't match the near record absorption of 2013, JLL managing director for industrial/logistics Terry Darrow tells us. (Last year, everything was filled, including doughnuts. Thus, the cronut.) Here are a few key insights:

1) Positive net absorption

Terry (left, with Cushman & Wakefield of Texas EVP Bill McClung) tells us DFW recorded 9.1M SF of positive net absorption in the Q4, bringing the year-end total to a near record-setting 17.2M SF. Much of the net absorption last year was attributed to several large built-to-suit projects that were completed near the end of the year (the two Amazon buildings, Restoration Hardware, L’Oreal, etc.), he says.

2) Increased construction

Overall construction and nonresidential input prices increased by 1.3% and 1.1% in January after plummeting to their lowest percentage in more than two years.

The result of the positive absorption: more construction. About 6.4M SF was completed in 2013 and the average is about 9M SF. What's underway is 8.8M SF, but 43% is built-to-suit, Terry tells us. Typically BTS makes up about 20% of construction. (The only thing people are comfortable speculating on is who will/won't get into the Baseball Hall of Fame today.)

3) More land sales

With the construction cycle getting closer to normal, developers have become much more active taking land positions, for both BTS and spec, Terry says. Asking rates are beginning to edge upward (effective rates have been increasing for two and a half years) as some spec projects have hit the market. Additional rate increases are expected over the next year, as new state-of-the-art product pushes the average rate up, and higher construction costs, along with the possibility of higher interest rates, all place upward pressure on rents.

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's Dallas-Fort Worth Newsletters
Related Stories

Efficiency, Speed And Experience: What CRE Needs To Know About The New Texas Business Courts

How Will Opportunity Zones 2.0 Impact Seattle? One Expert Weighs In

After Departing Trump Admin, HUD's Former Philly Head Joins Local Planning Commission

Investors Anchor Big Capital Into Marinas, Betting On Shallow Supply

Developers Eyeing Dallas' 50-Mile Trails Loop For Uptown-Like Opportunities

Large Commercial Real Estate Sales Up 30% Despite Economic Headwinds

How Addison, Texas, Upholds Its Regulatory Standards And Keeps Building Projects Moving Forward

Chetrit Group 'Being Dissolved' As Family Turmoil Spirals

Dallas-Based White Rose Partners Seeks To Build Data Center In Prosper

Avison Young Plans Second Major Recapitalization Since 2024

Judge Approves $70M Sale Of Philly's Largest Office Complex

Kidder Mathews Establishes First Texas Office In DFW, Adds 6 New Brokers