Historically Hot Markets Lead US Apartment Rent Growth Deceleration In November

apartments, multifamily

National monthly rents dropped for the third consecutive month in November, declining $2 to an average $1,214, according to Yardi Matrix’s monthly survey of 123 markets. The hardest hit: markets that traditionally have been very hot.

“It’s kind of a continuation of a trend we’ve seen over the last several months. There is a general declaration of rent growth, so you’re seeing a sequential decline in average rents, which is not atypical for this time of the year,” Yardi Matrix VP Jeff Adler tells Bisnow. “Rent growth year-over-year is decelerating, even in markets that are hot. Denver and San Francisco, which have been on fire, seeing 12% to 13% rent growth, continue to see more rapid deceleration and have definitely cooled.”

Compared to last year, rents grew 4.3%. Still, that’s a 240 basis points drop from last October’s 6.7% high. Short-term rent decreases last month were led by Denver, San Francisco, Baltimore and Boston.

Also worth noting, Jeff says, is the high-end product that continues to come online. Those markets where new supply accounts for 15% to 20% of their total supply, including Downtown Portland and Denver, are struggling.

Despite the deceleration, Yardi reports apartment fundamentals are strong and growth remains 200 bps above the long-term average. The firm expects robust absorption to continue, no matter the challenges that may arise should President-elect Donald Trump and the Republican-controlled Congress make big changes to policies. Economists say Trump’s promise to boost economic growth and keep US jobs in the country may force the Fed to increase interest rates at a quicker pace in an effort to keep inflation down.

“As long as interest rates don’t go up too quickly, valuations won’t get hurt,” Jeff says. “Really the question is how much will interest rates move relative to income growth?”

Continue reading this story with a free account

Log in or register
Sign up for more articles like this
Subscribe to Bisnow's National Newsletters
Related Stories

Wall Street Impatient For Big Tech Returns On Data Center Spending

As AI Adoption Ramps Up, Half A Million Property Managers Are In The Crosshairs

Treasuries Hover Around 4.7% As Wall Street Questions If Warsh Is A 'Dove In Hawk's Clothing'

Avison Young Had Assets Frozen By Bank Over Unpaid Taxes

Camden Property Trust Sells West Coast Portfolio, Clears $1.5B Target

Churchill Downs Plans To Sell 9 Casinos, Focus On Horse Racing

Bringing Stability And Savings To CRE Insurance Through Working Layer

More Hotel Owners In Need Of Cash Are Getting It From The Big Brands

Former Arms Dealer Targeting Heartland Apartment Takeover Files For Bankruptcy

SEC Charges REIT, Its Founders With Alleged $152M Fraud Scheme

Equinix Ramps Up Spending Plans Amid Faster-Than-Expected AI Shift

Cortland, Pulte, INVH, Walker & Dunlop Execs Talk Changing Demographics, AI