Why The Demise Of Brick-And-Mortar Is Greatly Overblown
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The news of late has been inundated with stories of retail closings, but Donahue Schriber chairman and CEO Pat Donahue said those stories are overblown.
"In the 38 years I've done this, the business has never been any better," Schriber said, citing strong fundamentals.
The staunch defender of retail said news about the demise of brick-and-mortar is a threat to commercial real estate. Top-of-mind in the industry are the struggles of department stores that malls have relied on to draw in shoppers, such as Sears, JC Penney and Macy's.
"We're sitting here day-in and day-out, having to deal with this narrative," Donahue told the crowd gathered last week for Bisnow's National Retail West Coast event.
Donahue sees what is not being reported. His firm's portfolio is 96.5% leased.
He referred to recent reports of GameStop closing between 150 and 225 stores. Donahue insisted the news is not all bad since the chain is planning to open 100 stores under different formats.
The GameStop stores in his malls are doing fantastic, he said.
It is the responsibility of CRE professionals to get the facts, according to Donahue.
The true number of internet sales in retail is under 5%, with Amazon doing most of the business in that segment, he said.
"Yet that is clearly not the narrative, and it is now greatly affecting our business," Donahue said.
Donahue said bad news for retailers could negatively impact financing for people with mid-tier products.
He is of the opinion the bad news is a bunch of bull.
When you look at retail today, you have to look at what is really going on. There has been a lack of supply and some modified, muted, limited demand, but still some demand, according to Donahue.
"So if you're an owner of high-quality product, I don't think it's ever been any better," Donahue said.
Pacific Retail Capital Partners managing partner Steve Plenge said regional malls are generally doing very well, especially the As and Bs.
Plenge said there has been a lot of change going on in the space, but it is important to be cognizant of who your tenants are and how they are embracing tech, which he said can be a great tool.
Some store closings are providing opportunities.
Seritage Growth Properties senior vice president, Western division Kacy Keys said her REIT purchased 266 Sears and Kmart stores around the country. Seritage then looks at how it can best convert the majority of those spaces for new uses.
"It also speaks to the underlying real estate," she said. "Each one of these has underlying real estate that has value."
Concrete examples of stores doing things right these days were also discussed.
"Sephora is absolutely killing it," Plenge said. "Out of 7K SF, they're averaging $7M a store, unbelievable."
He said people are looking for something new and different in retail, and some companies are delivering.