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January 5, 2021

This Week's Chicago Deal Sheet

COVID-19 suppressed construction activity in the Chicago metro area throughout 2020, and the decline in new starts got even steeper as the weather cooled. Construction starts totaled $624M in November, compared to $996M in November 2019, a 37% decline, according to a Dec. 22 report from Dodge Data & Analytics.

The decline was especially steep in the nonresidential sector. New monthly activity totaled $272M, compared to $528M in November 2019, a 47% drop, according to Dodge.

This Week's Chicago Deal Sheet

The residential sector saw a more modest 26% decline. Starts totaled $351M, compared to $477M one year earlier.The firm tracked construction activity throughout Cook County and in 12 other counties across Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana. Nonresidential buildings include office, retail, hotels, warehouses, manufacturing, educational, health care, religious, government and recreational…

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Industrial Developers Set New Construction Record At Year's End

Industrial Developers Set New Construction Record At Year's End

Industrial developers in the Chicago region set another record in Q4 for the amount of new space under construction. By the end of 2020, builders had 29.6M SF underway, the most ever, eclipsing the 27.3M SF underway in Q3, according to a Colliers International market report.Most…

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Here's What Won And Lost In Last Year's CMBS Market

Last year was a difficult one for the commercial mortgage-backed securities market, but it wasn't as bad as it could have been, experts now say. The coronavirus pandemic split CMBS according to property type, with hotels and retail taking the brunt of the crisis and everything else holding steady.

DBRS Morningstar now predicts that overall pandemic-related CRE valuation losses will be below that of the 2008-2009 downturn, even though properties backing loans that were sent to special servicing since March have suffered an average value decline of 24% since their origination, driven by losses in the hotel and retail sectors.

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Shot In The Dark: How Will Landlords, Building Owners Adjust As Vaccines Roll Out?

The previous, tumultuous year concluded with a sense of optimism, especially for the commercial real estate sector. Distribution of coronavirus vaccines, developed and approved in record time, reached a public elated for anything that can help them return to some semblance of a normal routine.

“People in the real estate industry very badly want people to start coming back to the office, and vaccinations are the single best ways to get there,” Kastle Systems Chairman Mark Ein said. “Hopefully a year from now, virtually everyone is back. The question is how do we manage through the transition until then.”

As vaccinations hopefully pick up in coming months after slow starts in the U.S. and United Kingdom, landlords and building managers will eventually need to answer difficult questions about balancing the safety and security policies of different workplaces and making sure common areas respect the requests of different tenants. While vaccines have only recently been approved and will first be given to high-priority populations, these issues may need to be addressed sooner rather than later. So far, most property owners don't appear to have a strategy in place.

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Many Brokers Made More Money In 2020 Than The Year Before, New Study Shows

 

Global pandemic or not, just over a third of brokers across the country said they made more money in 2020 than in 2019. The news comes from a nationwide poll conducted in December by commercial real estate broker software company Apto and shared first with Bisnow.

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